TRIAL Holdings,Inc.

141A TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Growth
¥3,945.00
-1.00%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

141A
TRIAL Holdings,Inc.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥3,945.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,370.65Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
30/100
Profitability17/25
Returns5/25
Balance Sheet0/25
Efficiency8/25
Growth12/25
Weak
Quality radar
30Prof.17/25Ret.5/25Eff.8/25B.Sht0/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,370.65
Above FV
▼ -39.9% against the close used
Model range ¥952.77 – ¥4,859.05
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥952.77Fair value¥2,370.65Bull¥4,859.05
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,017.0052W high ¥4,780.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

TRIAL Holdings,Inc. closed at ¥3,945.00, 66.4% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,370.65 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 30/100 — Weak. P/E of 41.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,910.07
-51.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,493.38
-62.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=96.23, BVPS=1030.03 · outside Graham range (P/E 41, P/B 3.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,924.60
-51.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=96.23, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,886.90
-26.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=96.23, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,859.05
+23.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=34.94B
Book Value (P/B)
¥952.77
-75.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1030.03, ROE=9.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,945.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 16.8% | Historical: 132%
Margin of Safety
¥1,332.01
-66.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1776.02, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.