¥1,060.70
Below FV▲ +34.9% against the close used
Model range ¥632.12 – ¥1,888.76
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥632.12Fair value¥1,060.70Bull¥1,888.76
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥686.0052W high ¥953.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading below the consensus fair value
Nippon Aqua Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥786.00, 25.9% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,060.70 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 65/100 — Strong. P/E of 13.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥645.79
-17.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥694.29
-11.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=59.42, BVPS=360.55 · outside Graham range (P/E 13.2, P/B 2.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,188.40
+51.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=59.42, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,113.53
+41.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=59.42, g=18.7%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,535.51
+95.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.99B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,888.76
+140.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=34.98, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,000.53
+27.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=360.55, ROE=17.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥786.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1.5% | Historical: 18.7%
Margin of Safety
¥632.12
-19.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=842.83, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.