The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥55.98Fair value¥297.50Bull¥409.67
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥680.0052W high ¥1,601.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Thinca Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥800.00, 168.9% above the consensus fair value of ¥297.50 drawn from 7 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 29/100 — Weak. P/E of 59.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥409.67
-48.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥314.70
-60.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=13.48, BVPS=326.53 · outside Graham range (P/E 59.4, P/B 2.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥269.60
-66.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=13.48, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥169.80
-78.8%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=60.11M
Book Value (P/B)
¥55.98
-93.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=326.53, ROE=4.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥800.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 21.9% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥248.49
-68.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=331.32, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.