Material Group Inc.

156A TSE Industrials Services
TSE Growth
¥843.00
-0.71%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

156A
Material Group Inc.
IndustrialsServices
¥843.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,198.78Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
71/100
Profitability19/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
71Prof.19/25Ret.18/25Eff.18/25B.Sht16/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,198.78
Below FV
▲ +42.2% against the close used
Model range ¥493.71 – ¥1,652.30
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥493.71Fair value¥1,198.78Bull¥1,652.30
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥655.0052W high ¥969.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Material Group Inc. closed at ¥843.00, 29.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,198.78 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 71/100 — Strong. P/E of 17.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,373.86
+63.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥493.71
-41.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=48.32, BVPS=224.2 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.5, P/B 3.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥966.40
+14.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=48.32, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,449.60
+72.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=48.32, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,652.30
+96.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=899.93M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,402.08
+66.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=25.96, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥919.23
+9.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=224.2, ROE=22.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥843.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.3% | Historical: 154.3%
Margin of Safety
¥708.49
-16.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=944.66, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.