The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,260.26Fair value¥5,814.55Bull¥10,171.62
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,860.0052W high ¥5,820.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
TOTETSU KOGYO CO.,LTD. closed at ¥3,860.00, 33.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,814.55 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 78/100 — Strong. P/E of 10.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,260.26
-67.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,691.59
+47.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=372.99, BVPS=3860
P/E Fair Value
¥7,459.80
+93.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=372.99, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥9,183.01
+137.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=372.99, g=24.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥10,171.62
+163.5%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=20.57B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥8,108.32
+110.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=150.15, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥4,053.00
+5.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3860, ROE=10.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,860.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.8% | Historical: 24.6%
Margin of Safety
¥3,602.91
-6.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4803.88, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.