The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,334.89Fair value¥4,698.51Bull¥5,663.98
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,759.0052W high ¥2,362.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
SHINNIHON CORPORATION closed at ¥2,236.00, 52.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,698.51 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 77/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥5,663.98
+153.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,674.33
+64.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=260.3, BVPS=2305.15
P/E Fair Value
¥5,206.00
+132.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=260.3, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,334.89
+4.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=260.3, g=9%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,173.22
+131.4%
(EBITDA × 14.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=20.89B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,622.32
+62.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=67.08, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,400.10
+52.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2305.15, ROE=11.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,236.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -4.5% | Historical: 9%
Margin of Safety
¥3,636.08
+62.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4848.1, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.