The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥148.48Fair value¥2,130.77Bull¥3,931.46
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,476.0052W high ¥1,952.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
TOA ROAD CORPORATION closed at ¥1,585.00, 25.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,130.77 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 45/100 — Average. P/E of 21.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,931.46
+148.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,390.16
-12.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=74.24, BVPS=1156.93 · outside Graham range (P/E 21.4, P/B 1.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,484.80
-6.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=74.24, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥148.48
-90.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=74.24, g=2%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,649.23
+4.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=8.07B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,147.86
-27.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=90.03, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥545.41
-65.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1156.93, ROE=6.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,585.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8% | Historical: -2%
Margin of Safety
¥1,701.61
+7.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2268.81, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.