The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥3,982.64Fair value¥7,147.35Bull¥10,743.90
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,866.0052W high ¥4,805.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
ASAHI KOGYOSHA CO.,LTD. closed at ¥3,740.00, 47.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥7,147.35 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 77/100 — Strong. P/E of 10.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥6,842.34
+83.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,982.64
+6.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=358.13, BVPS=1968.42
P/E Fair Value
¥7,162.60
+91.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=358.13, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥10,743.90
+187.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=358.13, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥8,373.07
+123.9%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=12.39B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥7,775.46
+107.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=143.99, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥6,840.26
+82.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1968.42, ROE=19.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,740.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.7% | Historical: 49.3%
Margin of Safety
¥4,496.90
+20.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=5995.86, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.