Morinaga & Co.,Ltd.

2201 TSE Consumer Staples Foods
TSE Prime
¥2,442.00
-0.53%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2201
Morinaga & Co.,Ltd.
Consumer StaplesFoods
¥2,442.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,716.30Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
67/100
Profitability12/25
Returns16/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth14/25
Strong
Quality radar
67Prof.12/25Ret.16/25Eff.23/25B.Sht16/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,716.30
Near FV
▲ +11.2% against the close used
Model range ¥828.20 – ¥4,221.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥828.20Fair value¥2,716.30Bull¥4,221.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,420.5052W high ¥2,889.50

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Morinaga & Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,442.00, 10.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,716.30 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 67/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,481.07
-39.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,837.89
+16.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=211.07, BVPS=1695.83
P/E Fair Value
¥4,221.40
+72.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=211.07, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,231.01
-8.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=211.07, g=10.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,642.07
+49.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=32.55B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥828.20
-66.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=64.96, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,422.62
-0.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1695.83, ROE=13%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,442.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.3% | Historical: -10.6%
Margin of Safety
¥2,135.09
-12.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2846.79, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.