NAKAMURAYA CO.,LTD.

2204 TSE Consumer Staples Foods
TSE Standard
¥3,115.00
-0.48%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2204
NAKAMURAYA CO.,LTD.
Consumer StaplesFoods
¥3,115.00
Close used for this calculation
¥5,009.68Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability17/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth23/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.17/25Ret.10/25Eff.16/25B.Sht16/25Growth23/25

Consensus fair value

¥5,009.68
Below FV
▲ +60.8% against the close used
Model range ¥1,652.96 – ¥13,487.51
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,652.96Fair value¥5,009.68Bull¥13,487.51
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,015.0052W high ¥3,435.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

NAKAMURAYA CO.,LTD. closed at ¥3,115.00, 37.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,009.68 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 19.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥13,487.51
+333.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,241.05
+36.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=159.11, BVPS=5024.19
P/E Fair Value
¥3,182.20
+2.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=159.11, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥4,773.30
+53.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=159.11, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥9,607.97
+208.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.13B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,053.86
+30.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=75.07, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,652.96
-46.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5024.19, ROE=3.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,115.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.9% | Historical: 40.9%
Margin of Safety
¥5,227.69
+67.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=6970.25, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.