Kotobuki Spirits Co.,Ltd.

2222 TSE Consumer Staples Foods
TSE Prime
¥2,543.50
+0.14%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2222
Kotobuki Spirits Co.,Ltd.
Consumer StaplesFoods
¥2,543.50
Close used for this calculation
¥1,685.41Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
67/100
Profitability23/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet23/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth15/25
Strong
Quality radar
67Prof.23/25Ret.12/25Eff.9/25B.Sht23/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,685.41
Above FV
▼ -33.7% against the close used
Model range ¥753.35 – ¥2,439.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥753.35Fair value¥1,685.41Bull¥2,439.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,719.5052W high ¥2,777.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Kotobuki Spirits Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,543.50, 50.9% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,685.41 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 67/100 — Strong. P/E of 31.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,469.25
-42.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥753.35
-70.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=81.32, BVPS=310.18 · outside Graham range (P/E 31.3, P/B 8.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,626.40
-36.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=81.32, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,439.60
-4.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=81.32, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,319.16
-8.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=20.29B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,895.42
-25.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=35.1, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,744.78
-31.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=310.18, ROE=28.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,543.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 13.2% | Historical: 60%
Margin of Safety
¥962.25
-62.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1283, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.