The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,972.59Fair value¥5,165.87Bull¥8,358.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥4,560.0052W high ¥4,990.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
KOIKE-YA Inc. closed at ¥4,915.00, 4.9% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,165.87 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 43/100 — Average. P/E of 20.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥4,828.08
-1.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,306.76
-32.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=243.24, BVPS=1997.97 · outside Graham range (P/E 20.2, P/B 2.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥4,864.80
-1.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=243.24, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥7,297.20
+48.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=243.24, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥8,358.40
+70.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.46B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,972.59
-39.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=55.05, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,426.51
-30.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1997.97, ROE=12.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥4,915.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.3% | Historical: 36%
Margin of Safety
¥3,249.91
-33.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4333.21, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.