The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,126.23Fair value¥3,776.87Bull¥9,185.85
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,139.0052W high ¥4,470.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Nippon Care Supply Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥4,260.00, 12.8% above the consensus fair value of ¥3,776.87 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 51/100 — Good. P/E of 29.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,246.67
-23.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=7.8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,978.03
-53.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=145.32, BVPS=1196.63 · outside Graham range (P/E 29.3, P/B 3.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,906.40
-31.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=145.32, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,126.23
-73.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=145.32, g=7.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥9,185.85
+115.6%
(EBITDA × 13.9x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=10.36B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,447.71
-19.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=71.99, r=10%, g=7.8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,944.52
-54.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1196.63, ROE=12.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥4,260.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 12.3% | Historical: 7.8%
Margin of Safety
¥2,032.78
-52.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2710.37, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.