The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥72.44Fair value¥964.72Bull¥1,619.86
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥415.0052W high ¥824.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
ValueCommerce Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥462.00, 52.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥964.72 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 20.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,619.86
+250.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥534.31
+15.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=22.52, BVPS=563.41
P/E Fair Value
¥450.40
-2.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=22.52, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥675.60
+46.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=22.52, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,070.05
+131.6%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.31B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥624.98
+35.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=49.02, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥72.44
-84.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=563.41, ROE=3.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥462.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.5% | Historical: -37.8%
Margin of Safety
¥651.14
+40.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=868.19, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.