KEY COFFEE INC

2594 TSE Consumer Staples Foods
TSE Prime
¥2,001.00
-0.74%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2594
KEY COFFEE INC
Consumer StaplesFoods
¥2,001.00
Close used for this calculation
¥805.08Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
19/100
Profitability11/25
Returns1/25
Balance Sheet3/25
Efficiency4/25
Growth3/25
Weak
Quality radar
19Prof.11/25Ret.1/25Eff.4/25B.Sht3/25Growth3/25

Consensus fair value

¥805.08
Above FV
▼ -59.8% against the close used
Model range ¥342.36 – ¥1,240.47
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥342.36Fair value¥805.08Bull¥1,240.47
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,913.0052W high ¥2,070.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

KEY COFFEE INC closed at ¥2,001.00, 148.5% above the consensus fair value of ¥805.08 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 19/100 — Weak. P/E of 43.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥836.45
-58.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=7.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,240.47
-38.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=46.14, BVPS=1482.22 · outside Graham range (P/E 43.4, P/B 1.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥922.80
-53.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=46.14, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥342.36
-82.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=46.14, g=7.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥570.31
-71.5%
(EBITDA × 13.7x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.19B
Book Value (P/B)
¥474.31
-76.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1482.22, ROE=3.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,001.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 17.6% | Historical: 7.4%
Margin of Safety
¥749.93
-62.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=999.91, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.