AEON KYUSHU CO.,LTD.

2653 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Standard
¥2,792.00
-0.36%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2653
AEON KYUSHU CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥2,792.00
Close used for this calculation
¥4,053.71Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
50/100
Profitability17/25
Returns17/25
Balance Sheet0/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth23/25
Good
Quality radar
50Prof.17/25Ret.17/25Eff.16/25B.Sht0/25Growth23/25

Consensus fair value

¥4,053.71
Below FV
▲ +45.2% against the close used
Model range ¥1,899.62 – ¥8,527.02
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,899.62Fair value¥4,053.71Bull¥8,527.02
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,759.0052W high ¥3,020.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

AEON KYUSHU CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,792.00, 31.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,053.71 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 50/100 — Good. P/E of 16.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥3,473.58
+24.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,637.79
-5.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=175, BVPS=1767.09 · outside Graham range (P/E 16, P/B 1.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,500.00
+25.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=175, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,704.75
+32.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=175, g=21.2%
EV/EBITDA
¥8,527.02
+205.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=18.22B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,698.75
-3.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=49.98, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,899.62
-32.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1767.09, ROE=10.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,792.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.1% | Historical: 21.2%
Margin of Safety
¥2,402.84
-13.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3203.79, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.