and ST HD Co.,Ltd.

2685 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Prime
¥3,165.00
-1.40%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2685
and ST HD Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥3,165.00
Close used for this calculation
¥5,238.99Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
66/100
Profitability15/25
Returns17/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth20/25
Strong
Quality radar
66Prof.15/25Ret.17/25Eff.18/25B.Sht16/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

¥5,238.99
Below FV
▲ +65.5% against the close used
Model range ¥2,652.23 – ¥11,201.45
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥2,652.23Fair value¥5,238.99Bull¥11,201.45
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,605.0052W high ¥3,610.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

and ST HD Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥3,165.00, 39.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,238.99 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 15.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,794.24
+51.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,861.79
-9.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=205.86, BVPS=1768.16 · outside Graham range (P/E 15.4, P/B 1.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥4,117.20
+30.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=205.86, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,682.84
+16.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=205.86, g=17.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥11,201.45
+253.9%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=29.47B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,853.84
+53.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=89.89, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,652.23
-16.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1768.16, ROE=12%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,165.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 3.6% | Historical: 17.9%
Margin of Safety
¥2,943.31
-7.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3924.41, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.