The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥902.22Fair value¥4,636.93Bull¥6,055.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,382.0052W high ¥3,200.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
ARATA CORPORATION closed at ¥2,650.00, 42.9% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,636.93 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 60/100 — Good. P/E of 8.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥5,473.26
+106.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=3%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,042.36
+90.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=302.76, BVPS=3732.39
P/E Fair Value
¥6,055.20
+128.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=302.76, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥902.22
-66.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=302.76, g=3%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,742.69
+79.0%
(EBITDA × 11.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=18.07B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,644.38
-37.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=112.1, r=10%, g=3%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,879.28
+8.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3732.39, ROE=8.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,650.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -4.2% | Historical: 3%
Margin of Safety
¥4,142.71
+56.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=5523.61, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.