The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥377.18Fair value¥1,039.84Bull¥1,566.11
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥561.0052W high ¥693.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Festaria Holdings Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥597.00, 42.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,039.84 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 12.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,566.11
+162.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8.3%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥712.29
+19.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=49.48, BVPS=455.73
P/E Fair Value
¥989.60
+65.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=49.48, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥411.67
-31.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=49.48, g=8.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,179.04
+97.5%
(EBITDA × 14.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=471.18M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥377.18
-36.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=6.98, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥603.84
+1.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=455.73, ROE=11.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥597.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.3% | Historical: 8.3%
Margin of Safety
¥817.00
+36.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1089.33, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.