Hokuyu Lucky Co.,Ltd.

2747 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Standard
¥3,130.00
+0.32%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2747
Hokuyu Lucky Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥3,130.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,917.69Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
34/100
Profitability12/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet4/25
Efficiency7/25
Growth12/25
Weak
Quality radar
34Prof.12/25Ret.11/25Eff.7/25B.Sht4/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,917.69
Above FV
▼ -38.7% against the close used
Model range ¥638.52 – ¥3,324.23
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥638.52Fair value¥1,917.69Bull¥3,324.23
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,986.0052W high ¥3,280.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Hokuyu Lucky Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥3,130.00, 63.2% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,917.69 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 34/100 — Weak. P/E of 36.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,606.80
-48.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,001.87
-4.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=85.73, BVPS=4671.64 · outside Graham range (P/E 36.5, P/B 0.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,714.60
-45.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=85.73, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,578.29
-49.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=85.73, g=18.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,324.23
+6.2%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=854.5M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥638.52
-79.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=50.08, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥887.61
-71.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=4671.64, ROE=1.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,130.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 15.3% | Historical: -18.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,580.82
-49.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2107.76, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.