The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥764.47Fair value¥1,470.02Bull¥1,803.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,040.0052W high ¥2,531.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Garden Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,241.00, 52.4% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,470.02 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 46/100 — Average. P/E of 24.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,392.38
-37.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,478.30
-34.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=90.15, BVPS=1077.4 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.9, P/B 2.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,803.00
-19.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=90.15, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥764.47
-65.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=90.15, g=8.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,603.85
-28.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.69B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,274.34
-43.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=99.95, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥769.57
-65.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1077.4, ROE=8%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,241.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10.1% | Historical: -8.5%
Margin of Safety
¥1,168.42
-47.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1557.89, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.