Village Vanguard CO.,LTD.

2769 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Standard
¥922.00
-0.32%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2769
Village Vanguard CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥922.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,170.48Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
48/100
Profitability4/25
Returns19/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency12/25
Growth8/25
Average
Quality radar
48Prof.4/25Ret.19/25Eff.12/25B.Sht13/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,170.48
Below FV
▲ +27.0% against the close used
Model range ¥434.70 – ¥3,937.61
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥434.70Fair value¥1,170.48Bull¥3,937.61
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥811.0052W high ¥1,032.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Village Vanguard CO.,LTD. closed at ¥922.00, 21.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,170.48 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 11.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥3,937.61
+327.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥434.70
-52.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=78.61, BVPS=106.84 · outside Graham range (P/E 11.7, P/B 8.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,572.20
+70.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=78.61, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥481.81
-47.7%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.07B
Book Value (P/B)
¥460.92
-50.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=106.84, ROE=33.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥922.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.1% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥1,486.13
+61.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1981.5, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.