SHINTO Holdings,Inc.

2776 TSE Consumer Discretionary Wholesale Trade
TSE Standard
¥104.00
+0.97%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2776
SHINTO Holdings,Inc.
Consumer DiscretionaryWholesale Trade
¥104.00
Close used for this calculation
¥83.07Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
28/100
Profitability13/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet1/25
Efficiency4/25
Growth6/25
Weak
Quality radar
28Prof.13/25Ret.10/25Eff.4/25B.Sht1/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

¥83.07
Above FV
▼ -20.1% against the close used
Model range ¥24.44 – ¥276.53
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥24.44Fair value¥83.07Bull¥276.53
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥89.0052W high ¥155.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

SHINTO Holdings,Inc. closed at ¥104.00, 25.2% above the consensus fair value of ¥83.07 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 28/100 — Weak. P/E of 47.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥43.87
-57.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥55.48
-46.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.21, BVPS=61.9 · outside Graham range (P/E 47.1, P/B 1.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥44.20
-57.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.21, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥24.44
-76.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.21, g=11.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥276.53
+165.9%
(EBITDA × 15.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.1B
Book Value (P/B)
¥25.63
-75.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=61.9, ROE=4.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥104.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 18.7% | Historical: 11.1%
Margin of Safety
¥35.89
-65.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=47.85, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.