NAFCO Co.,Ltd.

2790 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Standard
¥2,068.00
-1.34%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2790
NAFCO Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥2,068.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,519.49Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
38/100
Profitability14/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency5/25
Growth15/25
Average
Quality radar
38Prof.14/25Ret.8/25Eff.5/25B.Sht11/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,519.49
Above FV
▼ -26.5% against the close used
Model range ¥170.37 – ¥2,344.04
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥170.37Fair value¥1,519.49Bull¥2,344.04
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,929.0052W high ¥2,338.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

NAFCO Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,068.00, 36.1% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,519.49 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 38/100 — Average. P/E of 227.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥170.37
-91.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,132.12
-45.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=9.09, BVPS=6266.67 · outside Graham range (P/E 227.5, P/B 0.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥181.80
-91.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=9.09, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥272.70
-86.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=9.09, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,344.04
+13.3%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=7.52B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥738.28
-64.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=57.9, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥626.67
-69.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=6266.67, ROE=1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,068.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 41.1% | Historical: -59.1%
Margin of Safety
¥371.07
-82.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=494.76, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.