House Foods Group Inc.

2810 TSE Consumer Staples Foods
TSE Prime
¥3,872.00
+0.13%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2810
House Foods Group Inc.
Consumer StaplesFoods
¥3,872.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,057.92Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
43/100
Profitability10/25
Returns3/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth9/25
Average
Quality radar
43Prof.10/25Ret.3/25Eff.9/25B.Sht21/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,057.92
Above FV
▼ -46.9% against the close used
Model range ¥809.89 – ¥3,268.27
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥809.89Fair value¥2,057.92Bull¥3,268.27
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,819.5052W high ¥4,109.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

House Foods Group Inc. closed at ¥3,872.00, 88.2% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,057.92 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 43/100 — Average. P/E of 48.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,341.32
-39.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,405.76
-37.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=79.72, BVPS=3226.67 · outside Graham range (P/E 48.6, P/B 1.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,594.40
-58.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=79.72, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,178.26
-69.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=79.72, g=14.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,268.27
-15.6%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=31.44B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥893.56
-76.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=70.08, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥809.89
-79.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3226.67, ROE=2.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,872.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 19.1% | Historical: -14.8%
Margin of Safety
¥1,585.37
-59.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2113.83, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.