The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,559.04Fair value¥4,301.14Bull¥5,939.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥4,955.0052W high ¥6,340.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
ARIAKE JAPAN Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥5,250.00, 22.1% above the consensus fair value of ¥4,301.14 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 63/100 — Good. P/E of 17.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,387.56
-35.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=5.3%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,297.43
+0.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=296.96, BVPS=4200
P/E Fair Value
¥5,939.20
+13.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=296.96, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,559.04
-70.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=296.96, g=5.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,559.93
+5.9%
(EBITDA × 12.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=14.03B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,990.08
-24.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=180.08, r=10%, g=5.3%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,777.26
-66.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=4200, ROE=7.3%, g=5.3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥5,250.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.5% | Historical: 5.3%
Margin of Safety
¥3,656.05
-30.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4874.73, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.