The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,753.42Fair value¥4,613.81Bull¥12,785.62
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,543.0052W high ¥3,775.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
WARABEYA NICHIYO HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,719.00, 41.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,613.81 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 8.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,593.51
+32.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,878.56
+79.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=307.34, BVPS=3441.77
P/E Fair Value
¥6,146.80
+126.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=307.34, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥4,023.08
+48.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=307.34, g=13.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥12,785.62
+370.2%
(EBITDA × 16.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=14.76B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥6,475.03
+138.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=119.91, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,753.42
+1.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3441.77, ROE=9.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,719.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -4% | Historical: 13.1%
Margin of Safety
¥3,654.72
+34.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4872.96, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.