The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥27.42Fair value¥64.17Bull¥80.70
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥90.0052W high ¥138.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
SHINOZAKIYA,INC. closed at ¥123.00, 91.7% above the consensus fair value of ¥64.17 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 46/100 — Average. P/E of 45.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥74.54
-39.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥66.97
-45.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.69, BVPS=74.1 · outside Graham range (P/E 45.7, P/B 1.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥53.80
-56.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.69, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥80.70
-34.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.69, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥75.21
-38.9%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=59.09M
Book Value (P/B)
¥27.42
-77.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=74.1, ROE=3.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥123.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 18.3% | Historical: 30.7%
Margin of Safety
¥48.83
-60.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=65.1, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.