ALPICO HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.

297A TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Standard
¥214.00
+0.47%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

297A
ALPICO HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥214.00
Close used for this calculation
¥434.36Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
50/100
Profitability4/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet5/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth11/25
Good
Quality radar
50Prof.4/25Ret.18/25Eff.23/25B.Sht5/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

¥434.36
Below FV
▲ +103.0% against the close used
Model range ¥63.85 – ¥717.96
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥63.85Fair value¥434.36Bull¥717.96
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥206.0052W high ¥252.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

ALPICO HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥214.00, 50.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥434.36 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 50/100 — Good. P/E of 7.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥346.88
+62.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥337.24
+57.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=27.4, BVPS=184.48
P/E Fair Value
¥548.00
+156.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=27.4, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥717.96
+235.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=7.06B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥63.85
-70.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=5.01, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥271.45
+26.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=184.48, ROE=13.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥214.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -5.8% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥308.03
+43.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=410.71, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.