The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥433.26Fair value¥1,189.00Bull¥1,816.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥420.0052W high ¥1,356.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
CREAL Inc. closed at ¥521.00, 56.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,189.00 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,202.06
+130.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥653.96
+25.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=60.56, BVPS=313.86
P/E Fair Value
¥1,211.20
+132.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=60.56, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,816.80
+248.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=60.56, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,497.46
+187.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.99B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥433.26
-16.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=8.02, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,373.12
+163.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=313.86, ROE=23.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥521.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -4.4% | Historical: 83.1%
Margin of Safety
¥766.81
+47.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1022.41, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.