The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥63.76Fair value¥311.86Bull¥422.85
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥161.0052W high ¥213.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Polaris Holdings Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥188.00, 39.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥311.86 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 9.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥422.85
+124.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥246.38
+31.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=19.66, BVPS=137.23
P/E Fair Value
¥393.20
+109.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=19.66, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥193.42
+2.9%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.79B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥63.76
-66.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=5, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥239.17
+27.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=137.23, ROE=15.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥188.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.9% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥265.61
+41.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=354.14, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.