Alpen Co.,Ltd.

3028 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Prime
¥2,289.00
-0.30%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3028
Alpen Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥2,289.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,177.28Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
54/100
Profitability12/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
54Prof.12/25Ret.10/25Eff.16/25B.Sht16/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,177.28
Near FV
▼ -4.9% against the close used
Model range ¥636.23 – ¥3,623.68
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥636.23Fair value¥2,177.28Bull¥3,623.68
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,893.0052W high ¥2,410.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Alpen Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,289.00, 5.1% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,177.28 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 15.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,230.92
-46.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,194.12
+39.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=144.61, BVPS=3135.62
P/E Fair Value
¥2,892.20
+26.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=144.61, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,196.63
-4.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=144.61, g=15.2%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,623.68
+58.3%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=14.57B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥636.23
-72.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=49.9, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥716.71
-68.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3135.62, ROE=4.6%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,289.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4% | Historical: -15.2%
Margin of Safety
¥1,829.31
-20.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2439.08, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.