¥868.65
Near FV▲ +3.0% against the close used
Model range ¥540.30 – ¥1,454.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥540.30Fair value¥868.65Bull¥1,454.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥770.0052W high ¥1,080.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading close to the consensus fair value
HUB CO.,LTD. closed at ¥843.00, 3.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥868.65 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 17.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥704.51
-16.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥540.30
-35.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=48.48, BVPS=267.62 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.4, P/B 3.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥969.60
+15.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=48.48, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,454.40
+72.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=48.48, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,109.92
+31.7%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=822.79M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥591.79
-29.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=10.96, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥903.21
+7.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=267.62, ROE=19.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥843.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.3% | Historical: 43.6%
Margin of Safety
¥553.60
-34.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=738.14, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.