The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,107.41Fair value¥3,102.16Bull¥3,731.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,042.0052W high ¥3,755.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
ALCONIX CORPORATION closed at ¥3,290.00, 6.1% above the consensus fair value of ¥3,102.16 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 39/100 — Average. P/E of 17.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,496.98
+6.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,324.04
+1.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=186.58, BVPS=2632
P/E Fair Value
¥3,731.60
+13.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=186.58, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,319.12
-59.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=186.58, g=7.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,048.07
-7.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=14.15B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,107.41
-66.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=86.86, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,692.00
-48.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2632, ROE=7.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,290.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.5% | Historical: -7.1%
Margin of Safety
¥2,638.16
-19.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3517.54, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.