The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,271.70Fair value¥2,706.71Bull¥4,668.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,837.5052W high ¥2,925.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
BRONCO BILLY Co.,LTD. closed at ¥2,805.00, 3.6% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,706.71 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 21.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,586.80
-7.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,080.29
-25.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=132.34, BVPS=1453.37 · outside Graham range (P/E 21.2, P/B 1.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,646.80
-5.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=132.34, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,622.98
-6.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=132.34, g=19.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,668.60
+66.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.86B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,514.70
-46.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=28.05, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,271.70
-54.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1453.37, ROE=9.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,805.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.9% | Historical: 19.8%
Margin of Safety
¥1,828.47
-34.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2437.96, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.