The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,285.88Fair value¥2,538.88Bull¥4,058.70
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,589.0052W high ¥2,292.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Treasure Factory Co.,LTD. closed at ¥1,836.00, 27.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,538.88 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 74/100 — Strong. P/E of 13.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,678.46
-8.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,285.88
-30.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=135.29, BVPS=543.2 · outside Graham range (P/E 13.6, P/B 3.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,705.80
+47.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=135.29, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥4,058.70
+121.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=135.29, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,027.81
+119.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.57B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,161.34
+17.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=40.02, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,906.09
+58.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=543.2, ROE=27.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,836.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1.9% | Historical: 45.7%
Margin of Safety
¥1,417.54
-22.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1890.05, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.