OCHI HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.

3166 TSE Consumer Discretionary Wholesale Trade
TSE Standard
¥1,463.00
-0.20%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3166
OCHI HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryWholesale Trade
¥1,463.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,695.51Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
54/100
Profitability14/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet9/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth25/25
Good
Quality radar
54Prof.14/25Ret.11/25Eff.20/25B.Sht9/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,695.51
Below FV
▲ +84.2% against the close used
Model range ¥656.47 – ¥5,285.65
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥656.47Fair value¥2,695.51Bull¥5,285.65
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,350.0052W high ¥1,612.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

OCHI HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,463.00, 45.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,695.51 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 14.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥5,285.65
+261.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,060.05
+40.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=100.56, BVPS=1875.64
P/E Fair Value
¥2,011.20
+37.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=100.56, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,164.05
+47.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=100.56, g=21.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,524.53
+4.2%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.59B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥688.30
-53.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=53.98, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥656.47
-55.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1875.64, ROE=5.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,463.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.8% | Historical: -21.5%
Margin of Safety
¥2,339.23
+59.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3118.97, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.