TOKAI Holdings Corporation

3167 TSE Consumer Discretionary Wholesale Trade
TSE Prime
¥1,322.00
-0.23%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3167
TOKAI Holdings Corporation
Consumer DiscretionaryWholesale Trade
¥1,322.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,506.80Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
46/100
Profitability9/25
Returns17/25
Balance Sheet4/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth9/25
Average
Quality radar
46Prof.9/25Ret.17/25Eff.16/25B.Sht4/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,506.80
Near FV
▲ +14.0% against the close used
Model range ¥382.11 – ¥2,983.90
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥382.11Fair value¥1,506.80Bull¥2,983.90
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥997.0052W high ¥1,339.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

TOKAI Holdings Corporation closed at ¥1,322.00, 12.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,506.80 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 46/100 — Average. P/E of 16.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,274.18
-3.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,212.42
-8.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=82.53, BVPS=791.62 · outside Graham range (P/E 16, P/B 1.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,650.60
+24.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=82.53, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥382.11
-71.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=82.53, g=4.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,983.90
+125.7%
(EBITDA × 12.3x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=35.44B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥700.62
-47.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=35.96, r=10%, g=4.6%
Book Value (P/B)
¥939.03
-29.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=791.62, ROE=11%, g=4.6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,322.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.2% | Historical: 4.6%
Margin of Safety
¥1,034.30
-21.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1379.07, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.