CHIMNEY CO.,LTD.

3178 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Standard
¥1,195.00
-0.17%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3178
CHIMNEY CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥1,195.00
Close used for this calculation
¥419.40Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
25/100
Profitability12/25
Returns3/25
Balance Sheet6/25
Efficiency4/25
Growth9/25
Weak
Quality radar
25Prof.12/25Ret.3/25Eff.4/25B.Sht6/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

¥419.40
Above FV
▼ -64.9% against the close used
Model range ¥241.85 – ¥523.00
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥241.85Fair value¥419.40Bull¥523.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,039.0052W high ¥1,342.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

CHIMNEY CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,195.00, 184.9% above the consensus fair value of ¥419.40 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 25/100 — Weak. P/E of 45.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥490.12
-59.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥441.94
-63.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=26.15, BVPS=331.94 · outside Graham range (P/E 45.7, P/B 3.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥523.00
-56.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=26.15, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥520.91
-56.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=26.15, g=19.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥245.47
-79.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=832.69M
Book Value (P/B)
¥241.85
-79.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=331.94, ROE=8.1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,195.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 18.3% | Historical: -19.9%
Margin of Safety
¥363.77
-69.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=485.02, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.