The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥241.85Fair value¥419.40Bull¥523.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,039.0052W high ¥1,342.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
CHIMNEY CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,195.00, 184.9% above the consensus fair value of ¥419.40 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 25/100 — Weak. P/E of 45.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥490.12
-59.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥441.94
-63.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=26.15, BVPS=331.94 · outside Graham range (P/E 45.7, P/B 3.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥523.00
-56.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=26.15, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥520.91
-56.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=26.15, g=19.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥245.47
-79.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=832.69M
Book Value (P/B)
¥241.85
-79.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=331.94, ROE=8.1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,195.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 18.3% | Historical: -19.9%
Margin of Safety
¥363.77
-69.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=485.02, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.