Watahan & Co.,Ltd.

3199 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Prime
¥1,302.00
-0.61%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3199
Watahan & Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥1,302.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,710.20Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
50/100
Profitability6/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet6/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
50Prof.6/25Ret.15/25Eff.23/25B.Sht6/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,710.20
Below FV
▲ +31.4% against the close used
Model range ¥110.57 – ¥2,211.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥110.57Fair value¥1,710.20Bull¥2,211.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,275.0052W high ¥1,630.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Watahan & Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,302.00, 23.9% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,710.20 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 50/100 — Good. P/E of 11.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,072.36
+59.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,799.76
+38.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=110.57, BVPS=1302
P/E Fair Value
¥2,211.40
+69.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=110.57, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥110.57
-91.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=110.57, g=1%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,238.02
-4.9%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.32B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥381.81
-70.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=29.95, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,116.00
-14.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1302, ROE=9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,302.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0% | Historical: -1%
Margin of Safety
¥1,520.88
+16.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2027.84, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.