CENTRAL GENERAL DEVELOPMENT CO.,LTD.

3238 TSE Real Estate Real Estate
TSE Standard
¥384.00
-0.78%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3238
CENTRAL GENERAL DEVELOPMENT CO.,LTD.
Real EstateReal Estate
¥384.00
Close used for this calculation
¥312.74Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
36/100
Profitability14/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet3/25
Efficiency7/25
Growth15/25
Average
Quality radar
36Prof.14/25Ret.12/25Eff.7/25B.Sht3/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

¥312.74
Above FV
▼ -18.6% against the close used
Model range ¥63.65 – ¥607.16
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥63.65Fair value¥312.74Bull¥607.16
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥344.0052W high ¥443.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

CENTRAL GENERAL DEVELOPMENT CO.,LTD. closed at ¥384.00, 22.8% above the consensus fair value of ¥312.74 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 36/100 — Average. P/E of 25.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥287.89
-25.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥607.16
+58.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=15.36, BVPS=1066.67
P/E Fair Value
¥307.20
-20.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=15.36, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥460.80
+20.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=15.36, g=30%
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥63.65
-83.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=4.99, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥149.33
-61.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1066.67, ROE=1.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥384.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10.2% | Historical: -30.4%
Margin of Safety
¥300.56
-21.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=400.75, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.