TOCALO Co.,Ltd.
TSE Prime
¥2,752.00
-0.97%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
3433
TOCALO Co.,Ltd.
¥2,752.00
Close used for this calculation
¥3,302.92Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
66/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
¥3,302.92
Below FV▲ +20.0% against the close used
Model range ¥1,666.52 – ¥4,591.99
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,666.52Fair value¥3,302.92Bull¥4,591.99
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,021.0052W high ¥3,390.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
TOCALO Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,752.00, 16.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,302.92 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 16.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,358.26
+22.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,067.85
-24.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=169.19, BVPS=1123.27 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.3, P/B 2.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,383.80
+23.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=169.19, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,666.52
-39.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=169.19, g=9.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,394.62
+59.7%
(EBITDA × 14.9x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=17.89B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,591.99
+66.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=85.04, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,752.00
+0.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1123.27, ROE=15.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,752.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.4% | Historical: 9.9%
Margin of Safety
¥2,202.48
-20.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2936.64, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.