The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,481.19Fair value¥2,798.00Bull¥6,742.70
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,142.0052W high ¥1,397.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
ALPHA Corporation closed at ¥1,241.00, 55.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,798.00 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 8.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,858.26
+130.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,601.45
+190.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=144, BVPS=4003.23
P/E Fair Value
¥2,880.00
+132.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=144, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,343.68
+169.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=144, g=23.2%
EV/EBITDA
¥6,742.70
+443.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.5B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,700.66
+117.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=50.01, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,481.19
+19.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=4003.23, ROE=3.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,241.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -4.4% | Historical: 23.2%
Margin of Safety
¥2,334.93
+88.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3113.24, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.