The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥442.08Fair value¥3,870.39Bull¥5,778.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,630.0052W high ¥3,700.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
TOKUDEN CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,660.00, 31.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,870.39 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 64/100 — Good. P/E of 9.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,166.42
-18.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,658.99
+112.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=288.94, BVPS=4925.93
P/E Fair Value
¥5,778.80
+117.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=288.94, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥442.08
-83.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=288.94, g=1.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,161.78
+94.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=974.85M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,288.77
-51.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=101.08, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,040.74
-23.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=4925.93, ROE=5.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,660.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -3.5% | Historical: -1.5%
Margin of Safety
¥3,401.05
+27.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4534.74, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.