The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥540.31Fair value¥1,633.09Bull¥2,524.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥820.0052W high ¥1,085.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Shinwa Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,004.00, 38.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,633.09 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 68/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,316.28
+31.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.3%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,442.77
+43.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=126.24, BVPS=732.85
P/E Fair Value
¥2,524.80
+151.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=126.24, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥540.31
-46.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=126.24, g=4.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,269.18
+126.0%
(EBITDA × 12.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.29B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥620.50
-38.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=34.04, r=10%, g=4.3%
Book Value (P/B)
¥796.91
-20.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=732.85, ROE=10.5%, g=4.3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,004.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -5.6% | Historical: 4.3%
Margin of Safety
¥1,320.96
+31.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1761.28, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.