The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,587.84Fair value¥3,173.86Bull¥4,956.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,258.0052W high ¥2,310.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
JADE GROUP,Inc. closed at ¥1,877.00, 40.9% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,173.86 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 79/100 — Strong. P/E of 12.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,952.31
+57.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,587.84
-15.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=154.62, BVPS=724.71 · outside Graham range (P/E 12.1, P/B 2.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,092.40
+64.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=154.62, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥4,170.10
+122.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=154.62, g=27%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,956.00
+164.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.82B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,621.73
-13.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=30.03, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,297.43
+75.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=724.71, ROE=24.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,877.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.4% | Historical: 27%
Margin of Safety
¥1,908.14
+1.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2544.18, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.