Hobonichi Co.,Ltd.

3560 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Standard
¥4,225.00
-1.86%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3560
Hobonichi Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥4,225.00
Close used for this calculation
¥3,448.88Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
58/100
Profitability19/25
Returns7/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth15/25
Good
Quality radar
58Prof.19/25Ret.7/25Eff.11/25B.Sht21/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

¥3,448.88
Above FV
▼ -18.4% against the close used
Model range ¥1,094.34 – ¥7,076.34
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,094.34Fair value¥3,448.88Bull¥7,076.34
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,060.0052W high ¥4,650.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Hobonichi Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥4,225.00, 22.5% above the consensus fair value of ¥3,448.88 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 21.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,094.34
-74.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,029.96
-28.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=193.15, BVPS=2112.5 · outside Graham range (P/E 21.9, P/B 2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,863.00
-8.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=193.15, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥4,409.61
+4.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=193.15, g=22.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥7,076.34
+67.5%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=912.56M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,859.59
+15.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=89.99, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,848.44
-56.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2112.5, ROE=9.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥4,225.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.4% | Historical: 22.8%
Margin of Safety
¥1,996.83
-52.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2662.43, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.