AGS Corporation

3648 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Standard
¥1,050.00
-2.33%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3648
AGS Corporation
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥1,050.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,462.37Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
83/100
Profitability19/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth25/25
Exceptional
Quality radar
83Prof.19/25Ret.18/25Eff.25/25B.Sht21/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,462.37
Below FV
▲ +134.5% against the close used
Model range ¥1,529.19 – ¥3,979.82
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,529.19Fair value¥2,462.37Bull¥3,979.82
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,002.0052W high ¥1,545.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

AGS Corporation closed at ¥1,050.00, 57.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,462.37 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 83/100 — Exceptional. P/E of 9.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,222.38
+111.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,582.76
+50.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=115.58, BVPS=963.3
P/E Fair Value
¥2,311.60
+120.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=115.58, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,467.40
+230.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=115.58, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,979.82
+279.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.7B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,837.08
+75.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=34.02, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,589.45
+51.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=963.3, ROE=12.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,050.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -3.7% | Historical: 31.9%
Margin of Safety
¥1,529.19
+45.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2038.91, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.