CELSYS,Inc.

3663 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Prime
¥1,751.00
-0.57%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3663
CELSYS,Inc.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥1,751.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,435.68Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
58/100
Profitability17/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth6/25
Good
Quality radar
58Prof.17/25Ret.12/25Eff.11/25B.Sht18/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,435.68
Above FV
▼ -18.0% against the close used
Model range ¥423.36 – ¥1,947.81
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥423.36Fair value¥1,435.68Bull¥1,947.81
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,265.0052W high ¥2,053.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

CELSYS,Inc. closed at ¥1,751.00, 22.0% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,435.68 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 31.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,599.33
-8.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8.3%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥423.36
-75.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=55.23, BVPS=144.23 · outside Graham range (P/E 31.7, P/B 12.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,104.60
-36.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=55.23, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥457.86
-73.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=55.23, g=8.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,694.04
-3.3%
(EBITDA × 14.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.65B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,947.81
+11.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=36.07, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,063.73
-39.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=144.23, ROE=35.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,751.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 13.4% | Historical: 8.3%
Margin of Safety
¥781.82
-55.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1042.43, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.