Aeria Inc.

3758 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Standard
¥246.00
+0.41%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3758
Aeria Inc.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥246.00
Close used for this calculation
¥262.29Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
44/100
Profitability10/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet5/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth11/25
Average
Quality radar
44Prof.10/25Ret.11/25Eff.18/25B.Sht5/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

¥262.29
Near FV
▲ +6.6% against the close used
Model range ¥63.67 – ¥398.29
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥63.67Fair value¥262.29Bull¥398.29
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥225.0052W high ¥324.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Aeria Inc. closed at ¥246.00, 6.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥262.29 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 44/100 — Average. P/E of 14.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥316.94
+28.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥398.29
+61.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=16.91, BVPS=416.95
P/E Fair Value
¥338.20
+37.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=16.91, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥202.24
-17.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=16.91, g=12%
EV/EBITDA
¥169.53
-31.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=775M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥63.67
-74.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=4.99, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥71.48
-70.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=416.95, ROE=4.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥246.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.8% | Historical: -12%
Margin of Safety
¥263.36
+7.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=351.14, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.